Low Demand on US Treasuries as the FOMC Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged

The yields on the Lebanese Eurobonds maturing in 5years (Y( narrowed from 6.23% to 6.10% this week, while the yields on the 10Y bonds remained unchanged at 6.79%.

Over the past week, the BLOM Bond Index (BBI) marginally ticked up by 0.01%, to end the week at 104.43 points. It surpassed the JP Morgan Emerging Markets’ Bond Index (EMBI) which slid by 0.45% and stood at 803.07 points.

In the US, demand on treasuries was low as the FOMC announced its expected decision to keep interest rates unchanged, yet forecasted a third rate hike in December 2017 as well as a kick-start to the reduction of the FED’s balance sheet in October. As such, yields on the 10 year T-bills rose to their highest levels since Aug.8, 2017, that is, from 2.20% to 2.28% this week, while yields on the 5Y T-bills also reached 1.89% this week, up from 1.79% on September 14th.

The 5Y and 10Y spreads between the Lebanese Eurobonds and their US comparable declined from 444 bps and 459 bps to 421 bps and 451 bps, respectively.

5 Year Credit Default Swaps, Mid-Prices (in basis points)

 20/09/201714/09/2017
Lebanon445432
KSA9083
Dubai149140
Brazil204182
Turkey186163

Weekly Change of Lebanese Eurobonds Prices

 PricesWeeklyYieldsWeekly
Maturity Coupon in %20/09/201714/09/2017Change 20/09/201714/09/2017Change bps
12/11/20185.15100.38100.7-0.32%4.80%4.52%28
23/04/20195.5100.88100.880.00%4.92%4.92%-1
20/05/20196101.63101.7-0.07%4.96%4.93%3
28/11/20195.45100.75100.750.00%5.08%5.08%0
09/03/20206.375102.25102.250.00%5.39%5.40%-1
14/04/20205.8100.6100.63-0.03%5.54%5.53%1
19/06/20206.15101.25101.250.00%5.65%5.65%0
12/04/20218.25107.88107.750.12%5.77%5.82%-5
04/10/20226.199.8899.380.50%6.13%6.24%-12
27/01/2023698.7598.88-0.13%6.28%6.25%3
22/04/20246.651011010.00%6.46%6.46%0
04/11/20246.2598.6398.630.00%6.49%6.49%0
03/12/20247.00102.75102.750.00%6.51%6.51%0
26/02/20256.2097.8898-0.12%6.56%6.54%2
12/06/20256.2597.8897.880.00%6.60%6.60%0
28/11/20266.6099.2599.250.00%6.71%6.71%0
23/03/20276.85100.5100.50.00%6.78%6.78%0
29/11/20276.7599.6399.630.00%6.80%6.80%0
03/11/20286.659898.13-0.13%6.91%6.89%2
26/02/20306.6597.3897.5-0.12%6.97%6.95%1
22/04/20317.0099.2599.38-0.13%7.09%7.07%2
23/03/20327.0099990.00%7.11%7.11%0
02/11/20357.0598.3898.130.25%7.21%7.24%-3
23/03/20377.2598.7598.88-0.13%7.37%7.36%1

 

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