Demand for US Treasuries Fluctuates on the back of ECB’s Statement   

Demand for Lebanese Eurobonds maturing in 5 and 10 years grew over the past week as yields slipped, respectively, from 5.74% and 6.63% in the past week to 5.69% and 6.58% this week.The BLOM Bond Index (BBI) rose by a weekly 0.35% to settle at 105.99 points this week. The Lebanese index lagged behind the JP Morgan Emerging Markets’ Bond Index (EMBI), which recorded a weekly 0.38% increase to 790.5 points.

In the US, demand for treasuries partially recovered in Thursday’s session after witnessing a fall during the week. The drop in demand during the week came as a result of the European Central Bank upgrading its growth forecast for the euro zone as well as higher expectations of an interest rate next week.

Yields on 5 year and 10 year treasuries merely dropped from 1.76% and 2.21%to 1.75% and 2.19%, respectively, this week.

The 5 year and 10 year spread between the Lebanese Eurobonds’ yields and the US treasuries narrowed from 398 bps and 442 bps to 394 bps and 439 bps, respectively.

5 Year Credit Default Swaps, Mid-Prices (in basis points)

08/06/201701/06/2017
Lebanon370383
KSA10489
Dubai118106
Brazil237237
Turkey196196

Weekly Change of Lebanese Eurobonds Prices

 PricesWeeklyYieldsWeekly
Maturity Coupon in %08/06/201701/06/2017Change 08/06/201701/06/2017Change bps
12/06/20185.15100.75100.50.25%4.38%4.52%-13
12/11/20185.15100.9100.630.27%4.49%4.61%-12
23/04/20195.5101.2100.70.50%4.82%4.91%-9
20/05/20196102.13101.630.49%4.84%4.92%-8
28/11/20195.45101100.380.62%5.01%5.07%-6
09/03/20206.375102.75102.250.49%5.28%5.39%-10
14/04/20205.8101.15100.630.52%5.36%5.46%-11
19/06/20206.15102.1101.50.59%5.39%5.50%-11
12/04/20218.25109.35108.630.66%5.51%5.59%-7
04/10/20226.1101.63101.250.38%5.74%5.79%-6
27/01/20236100.88100.630.25%5.81%5.92%-11
22/04/20246.65102.5102.380.12%6.20%6.24%-5
04/11/20246.25100.1399.750.38%6.23%6.29%-7
03/12/20247.00104.51040.48%6.24%6.30%-6
26/02/20256.2099.6399.130.50%6.26%6.30%-4
12/06/20256.2599.6399.250.38%6.31%6.33%-2
28/11/20266.60101.51001.50%6.39%6.51%-12
23/03/20276.85102101.130.86%6.57%6.62%-5
29/11/20276.75101.131001.13%6.60%6.67%-7
03/11/20286.6510099.130.88%6.65%6.70%-5
26/02/20306.6599.6398.880.76%6.69%6.75%-6
22/04/20317.00101.5100.880.61%6.83%6.87%-4
23/03/20327.00101.5100.381.12%6.84%6.93%-9
02/11/20357.05100.5991.52%7.00%7.05%-5
23/03/20377.25101.75100.251.50%7.08%7.12%-3

 

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