Expectations of Multiple Interest Rates Increases Further Strengthen the Dollar

Lebanese Forex Market

Demand for the dollar on the Lebanese forex market steadied over the past week, where the value of the Lebanese pound against the dollar remained at a mid-price of $/LP 1,514 within the range $/LP 1,513.75-1,514.25 on Friday.

Foreign assets (excluding gold) at the Central Bank increased 9.36% since the beginning of the year to $40.56B by October 2016, boosted by the recent swap executed by BDL with the MoF and Lebanese banks. The dollarization ratio of private sector deposits increased from 64.88% in December 2015 to 64.98% in September 2016.

By Friday the 25th of November 2016, the euro slightly fell behind the dollar-pegged LP over the last week, going from €/LBP 1,598.25 to €/LBP 1,597.80. As for the Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) of the LBP, it declined by 0.47% to reach 117.73 points.

International Forex Market:

As expectations for multiple US rate hikes next year strengthened, the US dollar was positively affected, which was illustrated by the Euro/Dollar exchange rate that fell from €/$ 1.0602, last week, to €/$1.0599 this week.

Commodities:

Over the past week, in line with a stronger dollar, gold prices decreased from $1,212.86/ounce to $1,188.66/ounce this week.

 

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