Investors Prefer US Treasuries as the Trump Administration Fails to Repeal “Obamacare”   

The BLOM Bond Index (BBI) gained 0.52% during the past week to settle at 104.39 points this week. Moreover, the index was outperformed by the JP Morgan Emerging Markets’ Bond Index (EMBI), which rose by 0.70% to stand at 790.38 points in the past week.

The yields on the Lebanese Eurobonds maturing in 5 and 10 years slipped to 6.21% and 6.80% from 6.30% and 6.88%, respectively, on July 20th.

In the US, yields on the 5 year and 10 year treasuries fell from 1.89% and 2.35% on July 13th to 1.82% and 2.27% this week. The yields continued to act on Yellen’s last week dovish testimony. In addition, investors preferred safe haven investments as their confidence in Trump’s pro-growth agenda was shaken this Monday following the congressional deadlock that failed to overhaul or repeal Obamacare.

The 5 year spread slipped by 2 basis points (bps) to 439 bps while the 10 year spread stabilized at 453 bps by July 20, 2017.

5 Year Credit Default Swaps, Mid-Prices (in basis points)

20/07/201713/07/2017
Lebanon438432
KSA101104
Dubai123123
Brazil211228
Turkey181194

Weekly Change of Lebanese Eurobonds Prices

 PricesWeeklyYieldsWeekly
Maturity Coupon in %20/07/201713/07/2017Change 20/07/201713/07/2017Change bps
12/06/20185.15100.5100.250.25%4.57%4.86%-29
12/11/20185.15100.5100.250.25%4.75%4.95%-20
23/04/20195.5100.0599.950.10%5.46%5.52%-6
20/05/20196100.88100.750.13%5.48%5.56%-8
28/11/20195.4599.7599.50.25%5.56%5.67%-11
09/03/20206.375101.751010.74%5.65%5.96%-31
14/04/20205.8100.2599.50.75%5.70%6.00%-30
19/06/20206.15101100.250.75%5.77%6.05%-28
12/04/20218.25107.13106.750.36%6.08%6.20%-12
04/10/20226.199.38990.38%6.24%6.33%-9
27/01/2023698.7598.250.51%6.27%6.38%-11
22/04/20246.65100.88100.50.38%6.48%6.55%-7
04/11/20246.2598.6398.130.51%6.49%6.57%-9
03/12/20247.00102.88102.380.49%6.50%6.59%-9
26/02/20256.2098.1397.630.51%6.51%6.60%-8
12/06/20256.2598.1397.630.51%6.56%6.64%-8
28/11/20266.6099.3898.750.64%6.69%6.78%-9
23/03/20276.85100.599.880.62%6.78%6.87%-9
29/11/20276.7599.598.880.63%6.82%6.90%-8
03/11/20286.6598.3897.750.64%6.86%6.94%-8
26/02/20306.659897.250.77%6.89%6.98%-9
22/04/20317.00100.2599.630.62%6.97%7.04%-7
23/03/20327.0010099.130.88%7.00%7.09%-10
02/11/20357.059998.250.76%7.15%7.22%-8
23/03/20377.25100.1399.250.89%7.24%7.32%-8

 

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