Demand for US Treasuries Down on Expectations of a Hawkish Fed

Over the past week, the BLOM Bond Index (BBI) slipped by 1.27%, to end the week at 102.27 points. Likewise, the JP Morgan Emerging Markets’ Bond Index (EMBI) also fell by 0.89%, to end the week at 800.13 points.

Demand was down on the Lebanese Eurobonds maturing in 5 and 10 years as their yields rose from 6.10% and 6.97% to 6.35% and 7.20%, respectively.

Yields were also up in the US as investors anticipate that the upcoming Fed chair will be in favour of a more restrictive monetary policy. Yields on the US treasuries maturing in 5 and 10 years grew from 1.98% and 2.33% last week to 2.07% and 2.46% this week, respectively.

The 5Y spread between the Lebanese Eurobonds and their US comparables rose from last week’s 412 bps and 464 bps to 428 bps and 474 bps, respectively.

5 Year Credit Default Swaps, Mid-Prices (in basis points)

 26/10/201719/10/2017
Lebanon478456
KSA8384
Dubai145147
Brazil177171
Turkey192172

Weekly Change of Lebanese Eurobonds Prices

 PricesWeeklyYieldsWeekly
Maturity Coupon in %26/10/201719/10/2017Change 26/10/201719/10/2017Change bps
23/04/20195.5100.25100.63-0.38%5.32%5.06%26
20/05/20196101101.38-0.37%5.32%5.08%24
28/11/20195.45100100.5-0.50%5.45%5.19%25
09/03/20206.375101.5101.75-0.25%5.69%5.58%11
14/04/20205.899.88100.25-0.37%5.85%5.69%16
19/06/20206.15100.63101-0.37%5.89%5.74%15
12/04/20218.25106107.25-1.17%6.29%5.91%38
04/10/20226.199.13100.13-1.00%6.31%6.07%24
27/01/2023697.3898.63-1.27%6.60%6.31%29
22/04/20246.6598.63100-1.37%6.92%6.65%27
04/11/20246.2596.2597.75-1.53%6.93%6.65%28
03/12/20247.00100.25101.75-1.47%6.95%6.69%27
26/02/20256.2095.1397-1.93%7.06%6.72%34
12/06/20256.2595.1396.88-1.81%7.09%6.78%31
28/11/20266.6096.2597.75-1.53%7.17%6.94%23
23/03/20276.8597.6399.25-1.63%7.20%6.96%24
29/11/20276.7596.7598.38-1.66%7.21%6.97%23
03/11/20286.6594.596.63-2.20%7.39%7.09%29
26/02/20306.659496-2.08%7.40%7.14%26
22/04/20317.0096.2598-1.79%7.45%7.23%21
23/03/20327.009597-2.06%7.57%7.34%24
02/11/20357.059596.5-1.55%7.56%7.40%16
23/03/20377.2594.596.75-2.33%7.80%7.57%23

 

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *