Improving Lebanese Eurobonds in the Past 2 Weeks

 

The Blom Bond Index (BBI) rose by 1.97% over the past 2 weeks to stand at 102.7 points by January 4, 2018. The BBI outperformed the JP Morgan Emerging Markets’ Bond Index (EMBI) which registered a 0.55% rise to stand at 809.88 points.

The BBI was boosted by higher demand on the Lebanese Eurobonds maturing in 5 years (5Y) and 10 Years (10Y) since their yields slid from the 7% and 7.50%, recorded two weeks earlier, to 6.52% and 7.12%, respectively.

As such, the 5Y and 10Y spreads between the Lebanese Eurobonds and their US comparable narrowed from 474 basis points (bps) and 502 bps on December 21 to 425 bps and 466 bps, respectively.

Demand for safe-haven US treasuries steadied in the past two weeks as investors are not expecting a rate hike in the end of January. The yield on the 5Y US treasuries rose from 2.26% to 2.27% and that of the 10Y US treasuries dropped from 2.48% to 2.46%.

 

5 Year Credit Default Swaps, Mid-Prices (in basis points)

 04/01/201821/12/2017
Lebanon480521
KSA9092
Dubai153153
Brazil148165
Turkey161169

 

Weekly Change of Lebanese Eurobonds Prices

 PricesWeeklyYieldsWeekly
Maturity Coupon in %04/01/201821/12/2017Change 04/01/201821/12/2017Change bps
23/04/20195.5100.3199.50.81%4.77%5.89%-112
20/05/20196100.38100.130.25%5.19%5.90%-71
28/11/20195.4510199.131.89%5.23%5.93%-70
09/03/20206.375100.1399.880.25%5.37%6.43%-105
14/04/20205.8101.1398.52.67%5.81%6.50%-69
19/06/20206.1599.88990.89%5.85%6.59%-74
12/04/20218.25100.25104.38-3.96%6.04%6.75%-71
04/10/20226.1105.75979.02%6.27%6.84%-57
27/01/2023698.6395.753.01%6.44%7.00%-57
22/04/20246.6597.6397.380.26%6.56%7.17%-61
04/11/20246.2599.1394.884.48%6.82%7.21%-39
03/12/20247.0096.6398.63-2.03%6.87%7.25%-38
26/02/20256.20100.5946.91%6.91%7.29%-38
12/06/20256.2596942.13%6.92%7.31%-39
28/11/20266.609695.250.79%6.95%7.33%-39
23/03/20276.8597.1396.380.78%7.04%7.39%-36
29/11/20276.7598.595.133.54%7.07%7.45%-38
03/11/20286.6597.593.54.28%7.10%7.54%-43
26/02/20306.6596.2591.884.76%7.15%7.69%-54
22/04/20317.0094.6393.880.80%7.32%7.74%-42
23/03/20327.0096.7592.884.17%7.39%7.84%-45
02/11/20357.0596.2592.134.47%7.43%7.88%-45
23/03/20377.2595.75924.08%7.48%8.07%-59

 

 

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