Spotlights on Lebanon

Research reports covering various economic and market sectors in Lebanon

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The Future Price of the US Dollar Against The Lebanese Pound under Three Scenarios

BY INVITATION: Dr Azar is Professor, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Haigazian University My previous note on the exchange value of the US dollar against the Lebanese pound has sparked ... read more

Lebanon in Crisis: A Note on Some Economic Issues Part 2

The Lebanese economy was on fairly shaky grounds prior to 17 October 2019 but the economic crisis that has ensued since then was beyond anyone’s expectations in its severity. Four factors have inflamed the ... read more

Lebanon in Crisis: A Note on Some Economic Issues Part 1

Forecasting The Foreign Exchange Rate of The US Dollar Against The Lebanese Pound

Dr Azar is Professor, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Haigazian University. This note is inspired by a study by Dr Ali Bolbol and Ms Sara Hadchiti, both from BLOMINVEST Bank, entitled ... read more

Lebanese Budget Deficit Financing in H1 2020: A Critical Look

In countries with deficits and debt like Lebanon, what matters is not only how high these deficits and debt can get, but also how they are usually financed. Economic theory predicts that central bank ... read more

Comparative Look at the Goverment and ABL Debt Sustainability Plans – A brief note

Perhaps the most important document that was prepared on the Lebanese economy in the last few months is the government’s reform plan. That does not necessarily mean that it is the best plan or the only ... read more

Lebanon’s Eurobonds Market in H1 2020 Amid Government Default

Abstract On March 7 2020, the Lebanese government announced for the first time that Lebanon will not pay a $1.2B Eurobond due on March 9 and will seek to restructure its sovereign foreign currency debt ... read more

Governance: The Foundation of a Needed Recovery in Lebanon

Abstract Lebanon can no longer ‘pull a rabbit out of the hat’. The protests of October 2019 exposed enormous underlying fragilities. The events expedited a financial, economic, security and social crisis ... read more

Lebanon’s Bank Deposits and Real Estate amid the Crisis

Abstract According to the consolidated balance sheet of Lebanese banks, total deposits dropped yearly by 8.50% ($15B) to reach $162.37B in December 2019. However contrary to recent evidence, this large ... read more

The External Sector in Lebanon: A Preliminary Analysis

Like all small economies, Lebanon relies extensively on its external sector. Whereas this outward orientation of the country has its blessings, it makes the country ever more vulnerable to external ... read more

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Spotlights on Lebanon