Spotlights on Lebanon

Research reports covering various economic and market sectors in Lebanon

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Introduction to the Economics of Dual Exchange Rates in Lebanon

Over the past 20 years, it was repeatedly argued that the Lebanese fixed exchange rate was overvalued, sometimes by as high as 50%. What is surprising is that the fixed system has held for 22 years, from ... read more

Overview of the Lebanese Economy in 2019

MACROECONOMIC OVERVIEW Lebanon was in a state of “economic recession” in 2019. GDP growth dipped into negative territory in the consecutive quarters Q1 and Q2 of 2019. During the period, a political ... read more

Analysis of Lebanon’s Banking Deposits: 2018-2019

In this paper, we try to focus on the published breakdown of Lebanon’s deposits and analyze the changes in accounts’ currency, number, and value from 2018 and 2019 especially following the eruption ... read more

A Guideline to Orderly Debt Restructurings: With Special Reference to Lebanon

Abstract There is no international framework or sovereign law today that forces any country to undergo a debt restructuring or resort to the IMF when in crisis. In fact, to-date there is no “bankruptcy” ... read more

Contributions to Growth in the Lebanese Economy: The Need to Invigorate Domestic Sources

It is generally known that the Lebanese economy extends to all five continents of the globe given that – by some estimates – more than 10 million Lebanese live outside the country. That is of course not ... read more

Central Administration of Statistics: Lebanon’s National Accounts 2018

The Central Administration of Statistics (CAS) recently published the national accounts report for 2018, which revealed that Lebanon’s real GDP growth fell by 1.9%, marking the first significant drop since ... read more

Savings, Investment, and the Current Account in the Lebanese economy

The ongoing Lebanese economic crisis has brought more to the fore the importance of the current account deficit in perpetuating the crisis. This is because, in the absence of sizable capital inflows to ... read more

This Time is Different

Preface “This time is different because the shock does not have a limited time span.” Six years after publishing this paper on May 31st 2013, Lebanon is facing its most severe financial and economic ... read more

Car Market Slump in 2019

Abstract The car market carries bigger indications than car sales and ownership. Analyzing the autos market, in a small economy like Lebanon especially in times of uncertainty reflects real sector ... read more

IMF Article IV Consultation for Lebanon 2019: Substantial Measures are still in need to reduce the exceptionally large domestic and external imbalances

Under Article IV of the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, the IMF holds bilateral discussions with members, usually every year. In the context of the 2019 Article IV consultation with Lebanon, the staff report ... read more

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Spotlights on Lebanon