Business activity and new orders rise at fastest rates on record in September 2025

The BLOM Lebanon PMI for September 2025 rose to 51.5 from August’s 50.3, marking the fastest rate of improvement in private sector operating conditions since May 2013 and a second consecutive month in expansionary territory. The rebound was driven by record gains in output and new orders, alongside relative exchange rate stability, though firms reported higher input costs and remained cautious about the outlook. Politically, the Cabinet’s adoption of the “Homeland Shield” framework for Hezbollah’s disarmament signaled intent to restore authority and attract investment, even as Israel’s ongoing breaches of the ceasefire kept tensions high. Meanwhile, the IMF mission in late September acknowledged reform progress but called for deeper measures, leaving uncertainty over a final program. Ultimately, while September’s PMI pointed to the strongest recovery in years, fragile stability and cautious expectations continue to cap private sector optimism.

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Business activity and new orders rise at fastest rates on record in September 2025

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