Editors’ Picks

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Lebanon Opportunities’ New 2024 GDP Estimate: A Critical Review

Is Lebanon’s economy really worth $40.3 billion in 2024? Lebanon Opportunities says yes—far above the International Monetary Fund, World Bank, and Institute of International Finance estimates. Their bold ... read more

Lebanon’s Cash Economy: Some Thoughts and Figures

Monetary Aggregate1 Jan. 2018 (Trillion LBP) Jan. 2024 (Trillion LBP) Jan. 2025 (Trillion LBP) Δ = Jan.2025 -Jan.2024 (Trillion LBP) CC 5.39 57.08 84.93 27.85 DD LBP 4.90 28.66 36.65 7.99 M1 10.29 85.74 ... read more

When Assets Become Liabilities! The Debate Over Taxing Defaulted Eurobond Provisions

Lebanese banks are now facing a 17% tax on provisions they were instructed to set aside—ironically, to absorb losses from sovereign bonds the State itself defaulted on. In line with directives from the ... read more

IMF WEO: Global Growth Marginally Revised Upward, but Fragilities Persist

In its July 2025 World Economic Outlook (WEO) update, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) revised global growth projections upward. World GDP is now expected to expand by 3.0% in 2025 and 3.1% in ... read more

Lebanese Customs Revenue: Some Welcome but Surprising Results!

Lebanon’s customs revenue story is taking a surprising turn: despite only modest growth in imports, customs collections in early 2025 soared by 165% compared to 2024—without any change in tariff rates. The ... read more

Rhyming with the Past: What Lebanon’s Inflation Says About Its Future

In its Spring 2025 issue titled “Turning the Tide?”, the World Bank’s (WB) Lebanon Economic Monitor (LEM) featured a special analysis on Lebanon’s inflation. Since Lebanon’s financial crisis began, ... read more

The Big Mac Index and Lebanese Real Exchange Rates: Where Do We Stand?

The nominal exchange rate as commonly known is the price of one currency in terms of another. It’s usually expressed as the domestic price of the foreign currency. So if it costs 89,500 LBP to buy 1 USD, ... read more

From Theory to Practice: When a Weaker Currency Doesn’t Boost Exports – The Case of Lebanon

In its Spring 2025 issue titled “Turning the Tide?”, the World Bank’s (WB) Lebanon Economic Monitor (LEM) featured a special analysis of real effective exchange rate (REER) dynamics. This topic has drawn ... read more

Lebanon’s Financial Collapse: A Systemic Crisis Ignored!

Lebanon’s economic collapse extends well beyond the banking sector—it is a systemic crisis. This is the central argument of the 2025 report “It’s a Systemic Crisis!” published by The Leaders Club at ... read more

Is the Dollar’s Global Dominance Coming to an End?

Speculation has grown that President Donald Trump favors a weaker U.S. dollar, a stance that could prompt other countries—especially in Asia—to let their currencies appreciate in exchange for more ... read more

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Editors’ Picks