Spotlights on Lebanon

Research reports covering various economic and market sectors in Lebanon

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Lebanon in Crisis: An Unusual Money Supply Process!

It has been a very unusual one-and a half- year for the Lebanese economy. From an economy that was perfectly liberal and home to a vibrant banking sector, it turned almost overnight to an economy mired ... read more

Overview on Lebanon’s Eurobonds Market in 2020 Amid the Financial Crisis

In this report, we will provide an overview of Lebanon’s Eurobond market, but with a brief introduction on the US, EU, and Chinese market. The US bonds market Pre-pandemic . The US economy in 2019 ... read more

World Bank’s Report on Lebanon “The Deliberate Depression”: A Review

This is a critical summary of the World Bank report (Lebanon Economic Monitor: The Deliberate Depression, Fall 2020). It assesses how Lebanon’s economy can recover by applying reforms while taking into ... read more

Deposits in Lebanese Banks During the Current Crisis: Some Tentative Conclusions

Perhaps there is no banking sector in the world that has experienced a drastic reversal of fortunes in terms of magnitude and speed as the Lebanese banking sector had. On the eve of October 17, 2019 the ... read more

The Future Price of the US Dollar Against The Lebanese Pound under Three Scenarios

BY INVITATION: Dr Azar is Professor, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Haigazian University My previous note on the exchange value of the US dollar against the Lebanese pound has sparked ... read more

Lebanon in Crisis: A Note on Some Economic Issues Part 2

The Lebanese economy was on fairly shaky grounds prior to 17 October 2019 but the economic crisis that has ensued since then was beyond anyone’s expectations in its severity. Four factors have inflamed the ... read more

Lebanon in Crisis: A Note on Some Economic Issues Part 1

Forecasting The Foreign Exchange Rate of The US Dollar Against The Lebanese Pound

Dr Azar is Professor, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Haigazian University. This note is inspired by a study by Dr Ali Bolbol and Ms Sara Hadchiti, both from BLOMINVEST Bank, entitled ... read more

Lebanese Budget Deficit Financing in H1 2020: A Critical Look

In countries with deficits and debt like Lebanon, what matters is not only how high these deficits and debt can get, but also how they are usually financed. Economic theory predicts that central bank ... read more

Comparative Look at the Goverment and ABL Debt Sustainability Plans – A brief note

Perhaps the most important document that was prepared on the Lebanese economy in the last few months is the government’s reform plan. That does not necessarily mean that it is the best plan or the only ... read more

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Spotlights on Lebanon