Output and New Orders Rise at Fastest Rates since February

The BLOM Lebanon PMI rose to 50.5 in September, from 50.1 in August, marking the fourth consecutive month of expansion and signaling a faster improvement in private sector activity. The month was shaped by a mix of gradually improving domestic conditions and continued regional uncertainty. By mid-September an IMF mission visited Lebanon and welcomed progress on budget management and amendments to the Bank Resolution Law, while discussions continued around the Financial Stabilization and Deposits Recovery Law and a possible future IMF-supported program. Similarly, the government advanced its 2027 draft budget, which targets a balanced fiscal position and introduces stronger tax compliance and digital administration measures, adding to broader efforts to restore confidence in the economy. Furthermore, output and new orders recorded their strongest growth since February, largely supported by the domestic market, while exports remained constrained by the Middle East conflict. Firms nevertheless stayed cautious, reducing employment and purchasing activity, while higher fuel, food, construction material, shipping and insurance costs pushed input inflation to a three and a half year high. Business expectations improved to their least pessimistic level since February, suggesting some easing in sentiment despite persistent uncertainty.

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