Lebanon’s Exports fluctuated despite exchange rate advantages: 2021-2023

EXPORTS SPECIAL
000s of USDYear 2021Year 2022 change in value  % ChangeYear 2022Year 2023 change in value  % Change
Live animals; animal products        39,560        11,372    (28,188)-71%        11,372        20,275        8,90378%
Vegetable products     265,071     315,878      50,80719%     315,878     206,347  (109,531)-35%
Animal or vegetable fats and oils        32,293        27,998      (4,295)-13%        27,998        48,136      20,13872%
Prepared foodstuffs; beverages, tobboaco     404,363     389,508    (14,855)-4%     389,508     376,844    (12,664)-3%
Mineral products        10,911        16,719        5,80853%        16,719        14,753      (1,966)-12%
Products of the chemical or allied industries     343,210     369,293      26,0838%     369,293     295,876    (73,417)-20%
Plastics and articles thereof; rubber     117,285     387,803   270,518231%     387,803     104,911  (282,892)-73%
Raw hides and skins, leather, furskins          9,387        10,974        1,58717%        10,974          9,713      (1,261)-11%
Wood and articles of wood; wood charcoal; cork        15,003        13,763      (1,240)-8%        13,763        17,790        4,02729%
Pulp of wood; paper and paperboard        94,682     111,880      17,19818%     111,880        85,678    (26,202)-23%
Textiles and textile articles        46,213        46,611           3981%        46,611        44,194      (2,417)-5%
Footwear, umbrellas, artificial flowers          4,742          8,113        3,37171%          8,113          6,247      (1,866)-23%
Articles of stone, plaster, cement, glass        25,358        32,572        7,21428%        32,572        24,393      (8,179)-25%
Pearls, precious stones and metals  1,017,738     752,808  (264,930)-26%     752,808     760,440        7,6321%
Base metals and articles of base metal     463,856     489,487      25,6316%     489,487     428,875    (60,612)-12%
Machinery; electrical instruments     302,331     343,106      40,77513%     343,106     387,321      44,21513%
Vehicles, aircraft, vessels, transport equipment        66,977        44,788    (22,189)-33%        44,788        46,018        1,2303%
Optical, photographic,medical, musical instruments        12,382        15,973        3,59129%        15,973        19,648        3,67523%
Arms and ammunition; parts and accessories          1,610          1,964           35422%          1,964          1,238          (726)-37%
Miscellaneous manufactured articles        92,948        92,454          (494)-1%        92,454        88,840      (3,614)-4%
Works of art, collectors’ pieces and antiques        13,724          8,314      (5,410)-39%          8,314          7,461          (853)-10%
Total Exports  3,379,644   3,491,378    111,734 3%  3,491,378   2,994,998   (496,380)-14%

From December 2021 to December 2022, Lebanon experienced a notable boost in exports, with an annual increase of 3.31%. However, the following year saw a dramatic downturn, with exports declining by 14.22% from December 2022 to December 2023. This story delves into the factors behind these fluctuations and the challenges faced by Lebanese exporters.

The Surge in Exports (2021-2022)

During the period from December 2021 to December 2022, Lebanon saw a significant depreciation of the Lebanese Pound (LBP) against the US Dollar (USD) on the parallel market. This depreciation had a profound impact on the cost structures and competitive positioning of Lebanese products in international markets.

As the LBP weakened, Lebanese goods became more affordable for foreign buyers. This currency advantage made Lebanese exports more attractive on the global stage, boosting demand and export volumes. Additionally, the economic crisis in Lebanon led to a decrease in labour costs. This made Lebanese manufacturing more cost-effective, further enhancing the competitiveness of Lebanese products abroad. The favourable exchange rates and lower production costs provided a strong incentive to focus on exports.

The impact of these factors was particularly evident in several key sectors. Exports of plastics and articles thereof; rubber soared by 230.65%, footwear, umbrellas, and artificial flowers saw a substantial increase of 71.09% and mineral products grew yearly by 53.23%.

The Decline in Exports (2022-2023)

The optimism of 2021-2022 was short-lived as Lebanon’s export sector faced significant headwinds from December 2022 to December 2023, resulting in a 14.22% decline in exports. Several key export categories experienced notable declines. Exports of plastics and articles thereof; rubber, which had previously seen significant growth, plummeted by 72.95%. Exports of arms and ammunition, parts, and accessories dropped by 36.97% and vegetable product exports fell yearly by 34.68% by end of December 2023. Several factors contributed to this downturn.

First, the continued economic instability and political uncertainty in Lebanon eroded investor confidence. This instability made it difficult for businesses to plan and execute long-term export strategies.

Moreover, Lebanese exporters faced significant barriers when trying to enter new markets. These included stringent regulatory requirements, high tariffs, and competition from established players. In fact, Lebanese exporters face numerous challenges in maintaining and growing their presence in international markets as they must ensure compliance with various standards and certifications, which can be time-consuming and costly.

Despite these challenges, there are opportunities for Lebanese exporters to rebound. Leveraging niche markets, investing in research and development, and exploring new trade partnerships can help Lebanese products regain their footing in the global market. Additionally, government support in the form of export incentives and infrastructure improvements will be vital in creating a conducive environment for export growth.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *