| ($B) | 24-Nov-21 | 17-Nov-22 | 24-Nov-22 | Change over the Period (in $M) | Y-O-Y % Change | % Change y-t-d |
| M 1 | 35.82 | 57.45 | 57.14 | -313 | 59.52% | 49.83% |
| M 2 | 50.09 | 69.31 | 69.03 | -281 | 37.81% | 32.17% |
| M 3 | 131.78 | 144.58 | 144.30 | -280 | 9.50% | 8.68% |
| M 4 | 140.72 | 156.68 | 156.45 | -235 | 11.17% | 10.07% |
BDL’s latest statistics on money supply revealed that Broad Money (M3) decreased by LBP 422B ($ 280M) to stand at LBP 217,536B ($ 144.3B) by the week ending November 24, 2022. However, on an annual basis, M3 added 9.5% year-over-year and 8.68% since year-start (YTD).
In details, M1 retreated by LBP 471B ($ 313M) by a week to settle at LBP 86,136B ($ 57.14B) by November 24, 2022; due to a decrease in demand deposits of LBP 333 billion and in currency in circulation of LBP 138 billion.
In turn, total deposits (excluding Demand deposits) increased by LBP 48B ($ 32M), owing to a rise in Terms and saving deposits by LBP 47B and in deposits denominated in foreign currencies by LBP 1,266M ($840K).
As such, the rate of broad money dollarization increased from to 52.063% in the week ending November 17, 2022 to 52.165% in the week ending November 24, 2022.
Looking at interest rates, the average rate on deposits in LBP at commercial banks decreased from 1.09% in December 2021 to 0.6% in December 2022. Similarly, the average rate on deposits in USD at commercial banks decreased from 0.19% in December 2021 to 0.06% in December 2022. In its turn, the average lending rate in LBP and USD, at commercial banks, went down from 7.14% and 6.01% in December 2021 to 4.56% and 4.16%, respectively, in December 2022.
Analytically, the money supply M3 can be derived from combining the balance sheet of BDL with the balance sheet of banks to arrive at the monetary survey of the banking system. The resulting M3 would be equal to the sum of: net foreign assets (NFA), credit to the private sector (CPS), net credit to the public sector (NCPS), and other items net (OIN). Latest data show that in December 2022, M3 stood at $152.29B, 14.18% higher than December 2021; NFA were $12.07B, less by 20.71% YOY; CPS was $19.93B, less by 26.14% YOY; NCPS was $21.04B, less by 36.11% annually; and OIN were $99.25B, higher by an annual 70.38%, and comprising mostly (in BDL’s terminology) other assets which include open market operations and seigniorage, considered to be a controversial account by some.
In its treasury bills (T-Bills) auction dating November 24, 2022, the Ministry of Finance (MoF) raised LBP 82,410M ($54.67M) through the issuance of notes maturing in 3 months and T-Bills maturing in 1 years (1Y). A higher demand was recorded on the 3M notes which grasped 54% of total subscriptions, while the one year T-bills accounted for the remaining shares of 46%. In more details, the yield on 3 months stood at 3.5% and the yield on one year (1Y) reached 4.5%.
Source: BDL; MoF